Fantasy Premier League Prediction: Round 17

Analysis

It was a tough round with a lot of expectations. We were a little bit disappointed with our rate of predictions for round 15 and had to take some decisions. We worked on our algorithm and fix some of the found bugs, so now we think it is a bit better. So we entered in 16th round with the expectations of a better results. Now we are glad to announce that our results are positive. We managed to predict 6 out of 10 signs. We predicted the expected wins of Chelsea and Everton, but also the derby wins of Liverpool and Man City, the away win of Man United and the draw between Hull and Stoke. So we are finishing round 16 with addition of 2.5% and now we are on 52.5%.

The most impressive and overjoyed thing is that we managed to give five out of seven positive advices. Everyone would suggest that transfer of Luis Suarez in their team is completely normal. The adivces for Hazard, Lukaku and Rooney are also a easy decision. We are most satisfied with the advice "Get defender or goalkeeper from West Ham United", cause West Ham managed to achieve a clean sheet. So finally we have the amazing 71.4% of positive advices for round 16 and the overall 45.5% positive advices.

So as conclusion, despite made on just one round, we could say that our changes lead to a satisfactory results. We are looking forward to the next round and we hope for even better results.

Predictions

Home Team	Away Team	Rating	Advices
Fulham	Manchester City	44 for Manchester City	Get defender or goalkeeper from Manchester City and get Alvaro Negredo from Manchester City
Liverpool	Cardiff City	33 for Liverpool	Get Luis Suárez from Liverpool
Crystal Palace	Newcastle United	17 for Newcastle United	No advice
Swansea City	Everton	12 for Everton	Get defender or goalkeeper from Everton
Arsenal	Chelsea	10 for Arsenal	Get defender or goalkeeper from Arsenal
Manchester United	West Ham United	9 for Manchester United	Get Wayne Rooney from Manchester United
Sunderland	Norwich City	8 for Norwich City	No advice
Southampton	Tottenham Hotspur	7 for Southampton	Get defender or goalkeeper from Southampton
Stoke City	Aston Villa	Draw	Get defender or goalkeeper from Stoke City
West Bromwich Albion	Hull City	3 for West Bromwich Albion	Get defender or goalkeeper from West Bromwich Albion

Fantasy Premier League Prediction: Round 16

Analysis

Our first real failure was at round 15. It is true that there were some surprising results, but we are far from happy with the success rate of our predictions this round. Of course we were ready for such a situation. It is completely normal to have rounds with a less than the target percentage. We have also detected a little problem in our algorithm. We have fixed it now and we are still working on the tunning of the whole process.

We have managed to predict just two of the games played in round 15. We predicted the wins of Liverpool and Tottenham. This lead us to the unsatisfactory 20% of success rate for the round. Adding this to the whole percentage give us 50% of successful predictions, which is not that bad.

As to the advices we are on the same bar. Just two correct advices from 8 given. It is a little bit disappointing because the only positive advices were to buy Luis Suarez and Sergio Aguero, which were the leaders in the scoreboard and most of the players bought them already. So we are finishing the 15th round with 25% of positive advices, which lead us to 38% of successful advices at all.

Predictions

Home Team	Away Team	Rating	Advices
Chelsea	Crystal Palace	30 for Chelsea	Get defender or goalkeeper from Chelsea and get Eden Hazard from Chelsea
Everton	Fulham	27 for Everton	Get defender or goalkeeper from Everton and get Romelu Lukaku from Everton
Tottenham Hotspur	Liverpool	17 for Liverpool	Get Luis Suárez from Liverpool
Norwich City	Swansea City	15 for Swansea City	No advice
West Ham United	Sunderland	15 for West Ham United	Get defender or goalkeeper from West Ham United
Cardiff City	West Bromwich Albion	10 for West Bromwich Albion	No advice
Newcastle United	Southampton	7 for Southampton	No advice
Aston Villa	Manchester United	6 for Manchester United	Get Wayne Rooney from Manchester United
Manchester City	Arsenal	6 for Manchester City	No advice
Hull City	Stoke City	Draw	No advice

Fantasy Premier League Prediction: Round 15

Analysis

As we expected the second round of predictions was with a little less success then the previous. We have managed to predict only the winner of the halv of the games: Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City, Arsenal and Tottenham. That means that we achieved an 50% success rate for the predictions of round 14. It is in our elevation, so we are still on course and we could conclude that up to now our algorithm is good. Our success rate for the winner of the games is: 65%

If we have to analyze the given advices, we will have to start with one of them which seems a little controversial. We give the advice to bought a defender or goalkeeper of Man City, and two of their defenders managed to achieve good points because of assists: Zabaleta and Kolarov, so we will count this one as positive. The other three successful advices are to get the star player of the round: Luis Suarez, to get Sergio Aguero and to get Aaron Ramsey. So we are on the same track with the advices and we continue with the amazing 44.44%.

Predictions

Home Team	Away Team	Rating	Advices
Liverpool	West Ham United	25 for Liverpool	Get Luis Suarez from Liverpool
Sunderland	Tottenham Hotspur	21 for Tottenham Hotspur	Get defender or goalkeeper from Tottenham Hotspur
West Bromwich Albion	Norwich City	18 for West Bromwich Albion	No advice
Stoke City	Chelsea	16 for Chelsea	Get Eden Hazard from Chelsea
Southampton	Manchester City	16 for Manchester City	Get defender or goalkeeper from Manchester City and get Sergio Aguero from Manchester City
Swansea City	Hull City	15 for Swansea City	No advice
Arsenal	Everton	12 for Arsenal	Get defender or goalkeeper from Arsenal and get Aaron Ramsey from Arsenal
Fulham	Aston Villa	12 for Aston Villa	No advice
Crystal Palace	Cardiff City	9 for Cardiff City	No advice
Manchester United	Newcastle United	6 for Manchester United	Get Wayne Rooney from Manchester United

Fantasy Premier League Prediction: Round 14

Analysis

As we promised we will make an analysis of our predictions of the latest round in the next round prediction article. We are more than sure that our formula will not provide an 100% success, but we will try to modify it in the process in order to achieve over 50%.

We can proudly announce that the start of the rubric, despite being in the fatal round 13, was a big success. Our rating predictions were more than accurate. We did not achieve a success only for the biggest surprise of the round Hull City : Liverpool and the derby game of the round Tottenham Hotspurs : Manchester United. We have managed to predict the winner of the other eight games which give us a starting percentage of 80%.

The predictions for player transfers were also a success. We had the expectations for 25-30% of good picks, but we started with the impressive 44.44%.

Predictions

Home Team	Away Team	Rating	Advices
Sunderland	Chelsea	32 for Chelsea	Get Oscar from Chelsea
Liverpool	Norwich City	28 for Liverpool	Get Luis Suarez from Liverpool
West Bromwich Albion	Manchester City	25 for Manchester City	Get defender or goalkeeper from Manchester City and get Sergio Agüero from Manchester City
Arsenal	Hull City	24 for Arsenal	Get Aaron Ramsey from Arsenal
Crystal Palace	West Ham United	13 for West Ham United	Get defender or goalkeeper from West Ham United
Southampton	Aston Villa	13 for Southampton	Get defender or goalkeeper from Southampton
Fulham	Tottenham Hotspur	11 for Tottenham Hotspur	Get defender or goalkeeper from Tottenham Hotspur
Stoke City	Cardiff City	5 for Stoke City	No advice
Swansea City	Newcastle United	1 for Newcastle United	Get Loïc Remy from Newcastle United
Manchester United	Everton	Draw	No advice

Fantasy Premier League Prediction: Round 13

Home Team	Away Team	Rating	Advices
Cardiff City	Arsenal	25 for Arsenal	Get Olivier Giroud from Arsenal
Manchester City	Swansea City	24 for Manchester City	Get defender or goalkeeper from Manchester City and get Sergio Agüero from Manchester City
Hull City	Liverpool	20 for Liverpool	Get Daniel Sturridge from Liverpool
Aston Villa	Sunderland	18 for Aston Villa	No advice
Everton	Stoke City	9 for Everton	Get defender or goalkeeper from Everton
Tottenham Hotspur	Manchester United	7 for Manchester United	Get Robin Van Persie from Manchester United
West Ham United	Fulham	6 for West Ham United	Get defender or goalkeeper from West Ham United
Norwich City	Crystal Palace	4 for Norwich City	No advice
Newcastle United	West Bromwich Albion	2 for Newcastle United	Get Loïc Remy from Newcastle United
Chelsea	Southampton	1 for Chelsea	Get Oscar from Chelsea